{"id":16970,"date":"2022-05-23T06:48:00","date_gmt":"2022-05-23T10:48:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=16970"},"modified":"2023-02-09T11:36:30","modified_gmt":"2023-02-09T16:36:30","slug":"swing-trading-stocks-052322","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/swing-trading-stocks-052322\/","title":{"rendered":"The Wagner Daily &#8211; Timing Model Alert: S&amp;P, Nasdaq Below Declining 20-EMA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>(INSERT HEADER IMAGE)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Wagner Daily &#8211; May 23, 2022<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Below is the full, archived issue of The Wagner Daily swing trading report (sent to members the night before the publication date).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe now<\/a><\/strong> for your access to the best stocks for swing trading, proven Morpheus stock trading strategy, and market timing model with a 20-year track record. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Just drop us a comment with any questions or comments&#8211;we&#8217;d love to hear from you!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><a><strong><em>MTG Market Timing Model &#8211;&nbsp; BUY as of 3\/16 close<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our timing model was designed to keep our trades in line with the prevailing market trend, not to call tops or catch bottoms in S&amp;P 500 or Nasdaq Composite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a><strong><em>today&#8217;s watchlist (potential trade entries):<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"$todays watchlist\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/watch.png\" title=\"\"><br \/><br \/><a><strong><em>open positions:<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/open.png\" alt=\"$open positions\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>closed positions:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220523closed.png\" alt=\"$closed positions\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>po<\/strong><strong>sition notes:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>$AFRM stop triggered and we are out.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em><strong><em><strong><em><a><strong><em>Commentary:<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last Friday afternoon&#8217;s bullish reversal action put the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite back above the swing low and left the door open for an &#8220;undercut and rally&#8221; scenario this week.&nbsp; The undercut and rally setup&nbsp;occurs when an obvious low\/high is taken out but fails to follow through and quickly leads to a reversal in the other direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A +2% rally in the last 45 minutes of trading allowed the S&amp;P 500 to close flat on the day with a bullish reversal candle. Ideally, if the reversal is strong, then the following session should open above the prior day&#8217;s high (show some sort of gap) and hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220523SPX.png\" alt=\"$SP 500 daily \" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Composite have the same type of chart with a slightly lower close in the day&#8217;s range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Growth ETFs $ARKK and $IWP held up better than $SPY \/ $QQQ by putting in a higher low on the daily chart. Let&#8217;s see if growth can lead the market higher. Can $IWP reclaim the 8-day EMA and hold?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220523IWP.png\" alt=\"$IWP  daily \" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>While Friday&#8217;s reversal action puts us on alert for a short-term bounce, the timing model remains on a sell signal with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trading below a declining 20-ema on the daily chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Energy stocks remain near highs but this sector is tough to trade on strength, so entries should be as close as possible to the 20 or 50-day MAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still monitoring $LNTH for a power-play setup due to the explosive +100% move in a short period of time with only a 21% correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220523LNTH.png\" alt=\"$LNTH  daily \" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>There are no new official setups for Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For those who are new to the service, our system is based on trading growth stocks that can explode higher in a short period of time&#8230;when conditions are ideal.&nbsp; &nbsp;Below are a few things we are looking for in a buy signal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keys to market turning bullish:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Buy signal in the timing model, such as a FTD (follow through day) or reclaim of 21-day EMA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Stocks begin to breakout on volume and hold&#8230; indexes hold the 21-day EMA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Number of stocks making new 52-week highs vs 52-week lows enters into positive territory<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>After first wave of breakouts, new setups emerge<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unofficial Setups<\/strong> &#8211; For experienced traders only, no guidance is given for these setups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>&nbsp;Longs &#8211; $SWN $LNTH (watching), off lows &#8211; $PTON $INMD $AFRM $DWAC<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00a0Shorts &#8211; none, index near lows<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>See you in the chat room,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rick&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This list is a good starting point for monitoring the health of the market for those who have limited time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\">https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-light-green-cyan-background-color has-background\"><em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Start my Wagner Daily membership now<\/a><\/strong> to start receiving winning Morpheus stock trade signals, including a stock portfolio you can easily follow. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Wagner Daily PRO<\/a> <\/strong>includes <strong>live swing trader room<\/strong> for daily, real-time trade ideas and powerful stock trading education. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While Friday&#8217;s reversal action puts us on alert for a short-term bounce, the timing model remains on a sell signal with the S&#038;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite trading below a declining 20-ema on the daily chart.<\/p>\n<p>Energy stocks remain near highs but this sector is tough to trade on strength, so entries should be as close as possible to the 20 or 50-day MAs.<\/p>\n<p>Still monitoring $LNTH for a power-play setup due to the explosive +100% move in a short period of time with only a 21% correction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12060,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[782],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-wagner-daily-archives"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16970"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16970\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16992,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16970\/revisions\/16992"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12060"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}