{"id":17474,"date":"2022-02-03T06:48:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-03T11:48:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=17474"},"modified":"2023-02-15T02:36:14","modified_gmt":"2023-02-15T07:36:14","slug":"swing-trading-stocks-020322","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/swing-trading-stocks-020322\/","title":{"rendered":"The Wagner Daily &#8211; Adding $MTDR to Portfolio for Energy Exposure"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>(INSERT HEADER IMAGE)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Wagner Daily &#8211; February 3, 2022<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Below is the full, archived issue of The Wagner Daily swing trading report (sent to members the night before the publication date).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Subscribe now<\/a><\/strong> for your access to the best stocks for swing trading, proven Morpheus stock trading strategy, and market timing model with a 20-year track record. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Just drop us a comment with any questions or comments&#8211;we&#8217;d love to hear from you!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><a><strong><em>MTG Market Timing Model &#8211;&nbsp; BUY (from 2\/1 buy signal)&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our timing model was designed to keep our trades in line with the prevailing market trend, not to call tops or catch bottoms in S&amp;P 500 or Nasdaq Composite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a><strong><em>today&#8217;s watchlist (potential trade entries):<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"$todays watchlist\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/watch.png\" title=\"\"><br \/><br \/><a><strong><em>open positions:<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220203open.png\" alt=\"$open positions\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>closed positions:<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2020\/closed.png\" alt=\"$closed positions\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>po<\/strong><strong>sition notes:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Per intraday alert, bought $MTDR.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Note the higher stop in $CF, which is below the big up day on 2\/1<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em><strong><em><strong><em><a><strong><em>Commentary:<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Major indexes climbed higher on Wednesday, but the damage was done after the closing bell as $FB closed -22% lower in after-hours trading.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of this writing, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures are trading -1% and -2% lower respectively. If futures remain weak, that would lead to a significant gap down on Thursday&#8217;s open, which would not be an ideal spot to initiate new shorts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220203SPX.png\" alt=\"$SP 500 daily\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220203NDX.png\" alt=\"$nasdaq 100 daily\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Prior to the $FB plunge, $MTDR was added to the model portfolio to gain some exposure to the energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We entered prior to the base breakout on a break of the hourly downtrend line off the 20-period EMA. This entry was closer to the buy point on 2\/1 which was over the high of a tight two-day range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220203MTDR2.png\" alt=\"$MTDR 60\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2021\/220203MTDR.png\" alt=\"$MTDR daily\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Let&#8217;s see how our open positions which have shown relative strength respond to broad market weakness. Given the potential for a significant gap down on Thursday&nbsp;there are no new official setups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unofficial Setups<\/strong> &#8211; For experienced traders only, no guidance is given for these setups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Depending on market conditions:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Longs &#8211; $HAL $SM $SLB over Wednesday&#8217;s high &#8211; several other oil stocks also look good.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shorts &#8211; Waiting for a bounce due to potential gap down<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>See you in the chat room,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rick<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For those new to this report, our share size is pretty conservative with max. size around 10% of equity per trade. We do this because we prefer to trade 10-12 names to keep the report active.&nbsp; However, if your goal is to maximize returns, taking 18-25% positions is the way to go.&nbsp; &nbsp;If trading in a non-margin account, this will limit the portfolio to 4-5 positions.&nbsp; If on margin, then 8-10 positions. Our risk per trade on average is just over 1\/2 of 1%. Experienced traders may want to risk 1% to 2% per trade.&nbsp; &nbsp;For example, a 20% position in a 100k account with a 6% stop loss would result in a $1,200 loss (1.2%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This list is a good starting point for monitoring the health of the market for those who have limited time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\">https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-light-green-cyan-background-color has-background\"><em><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Start my Wagner Daily membership now<\/a><\/strong> to start receiving winning Morpheus stock trade signals, including a stock portfolio you can easily follow. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Wagner Daily PRO<\/a> <\/strong>includes <strong>live swing trader room<\/strong> for daily, real-time trade ideas and powerful stock trading education. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prior to the $FB plunge, $MTDR was added to the model portfolio to gain some exposure to the energy.<\/p>\n<p>We entered prior to the base breakout on a break of the hourly downtrend line off the 20-period EMA. This entry was closer to the buy point on 2\/1 which was over the high of a tight two-day range.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12060,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[782],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-wagner-daily-archives"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17474"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17478,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17474\/revisions\/17478"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12060"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}