{"id":1888,"date":"2012-08-29T03:14:46","date_gmt":"2012-08-29T07:14:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=1888"},"modified":"2022-04-06T15:07:29","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T19:07:29","slug":"commodity-etfs-dgp-jjg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/commodity-etfs-dgp-jjg\/","title":{"rendered":"Two Commodity ETFs Poised For Explosive Gains Now ($DGP, $JJG)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In yesterday&#8217;s (August 28)\u00a0<a title=\"The Wagner Daily\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Wagner Daily<\/em> newsletter<\/a> commentary, we said there were three ETFs on our &#8220;unofficial&#8221; watchlist that we were monitoring for potential buy entry in the near-term. They were: <strong>SPDR Gold Trust ($GLD), iPath Grains ETN ($JJG), and S&amp;P Health Care SPDR ($XLV).<\/strong>\u00a0In case you missed it, our initial technical analysis on buying the Gold ETF ($GLD) was <a title=\"Gold ETF ($GLD) Starting To Shine Again. Is now the time to buy?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/buy-gold-etf-gld\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">posted here<\/a> on our trading blog two days ago. Of these three ETFs, we are now adding two of them to our &#8220;official&#8221; <em>ETF Trading Watchlist<\/em>\u00a0as potential stocks to buy today.<\/p>\n<p>The first potential ETF trade is $GLD, which has now formed a tight &#8220;bull flag&#8221; formation over the past four days. But rather than buying $GLD, we are targeting the leveraged Gold Double Long ETN ($DGP) for buy entry instead. As annotated on the chart below, our technical buy trigger for $DGP will be a breakout above the 4-day high (newsletter subscribers should note our exact entry, stop, and target prices in the <em>ETF Watchlist<\/em> section of today&#8217;s report above):<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Bull flag pattern of $DGP\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/charts\/2012\/120829$DGPchartpattern.png\" alt=\"$DGP bull flag pattern\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Although leveraged ETFs like $DGP have a tendency to underperform the nonleveraged ETFs over longer holding periods, some of these ETFs are fine for trading shorter-term, momentum-driven trades, while providing the benefit of using less capital to achieve potential upside gains.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to $DGP, we are now also targeting $JJG for &#8220;official&#8221; buy entry. Yesterday, it provided us with the slight <a title=\"How To Quickly Scan For Swing Trade \u201cPullbacks\u201d\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/how-to-scan-pullback\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>pullback<\/em><\/a> we were looking for and bounced perfectly off of support of its 20-day exponential moving average. As such, we are now looking for a buy entry above yesterday&#8217;s high, with a stop below the 20-day exponential moving average (plus some &#8220;wiggle room&#8221;). Again, regular subscribers should note our preset trade parameters in the\u00a0<em>ETF Watchlist <\/em>of today&#8217;s issue. The technical swing trade setup in $JGG is shown below:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Technical pullback setup of $JJG\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/charts\/2012\/120829$JJGchartpattern.png\" alt=\"$JJG pullback entry\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Despite the relatively flat closing prices in the broad market, all but one of the 8 open positions in our <a title=\"What is our model trading portfolio?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/performance#model\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">model trading portfolios<\/a> (6 individual stocks and 2 ETFs) showed relative strength to the major indices by rallying moderately higher yesterday. As we frequently mention, the only time we really pay much attention to the performance of the main stock market indexes is when it comes to instances of heavier volume gains (&#8220;accumulation days&#8221;) or heavier volume declines (&#8220;distribution days&#8221;). What always matters more is the performance of individual positions.<\/p>\n<p>When we are doing our jobs by simply buying stocks and ETFs with solid bases of consolidation and relative strength, it frees us from the concern and worry of having to pay attention to how much the Dow moves up or down every day (unlike the talking heads of financial news networks who constantly dwell on the performance of the popular market indexes). For now, our objective, rule-based market timing model <a title=\"Market timing model shifts to BUY mode on August 17\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/our-market-timing-system-shifts-to-buy-mode-as-market-breadth-improves\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">remains in <em>buy<\/em> mode<\/a>, so we will continue to be positioned on the long side of the market, albeit with reduced share size.<\/p>\n<div style=\"border: 2px solid blue; padding: 10px; background: #ffe;\">The commentary above is a shortened version of today&#8217;s (August 29) issue of <em>The\u00a0Wagner Daily<\/em>, our nightly ETF and stock trading newsletter\u00a0we have been publishing for swing traders\u00a0<em>since 2002<\/em>. Subscribers to the full version receive our best stock and ETF picks with preset entry and exit prices, access to our proven trading strategy with market timing system, and access to our &#8220;turn key&#8221; technical stock screener software. Start your risk-free subscription to our <strong>swing trading newsletter service for less than $2 per day (based on annual rate) at <a title=\"MorpheusTrading.com\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com<\/a>.<\/strong><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In yesterday&#8217;s (August 28)\u00a0Wagner Daily newsletter commentary, we said there were three ETFs on our &#8220;unofficial&#8221; watchlist that we were monitoring for potential buy entry in the near-term. They were: SPDR Gold Trust ($GLD), iPath Grains ETN ($JJG), and S&amp;P Health Care SPDR ($XLV).\u00a0In case you missed it, our initial technical analysis on buying the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1888","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1888"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1888\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11718,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1888\/revisions\/11718"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1888"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1888"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1888"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}