{"id":2110,"date":"2012-10-08T19:27:06","date_gmt":"2012-10-08T23:27:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=2110"},"modified":"2022-04-06T15:07:28","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T19:07:28","slug":"ung-bull-flag-reentry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/ung-bull-flag-reentry\/","title":{"rendered":"Time To Light Up The Natural Gas ETF Again? ($UNG)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, on October 2, 2012, we <a title=\"Review of initial UNG swing trade entry\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/ung-natural-gas-etf-trading\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">locked in an 11% gain on a swing trade in US Natural Gas Fund ($UNG)<\/a>, a commodity ETF designed to roughly track the price of natural gas futures contracts. As you may recall, we sold the ETF into strength as it came within pennies of our original upside price target.<\/p>\n<p>In the following day&#8217;s ETF commentary, we said we would be looking for a potential, low-risk <em>re-entry<\/em> buy point into UNG. Specifically, we said, &#8220;Even though we have closed this trade, UNG could still move much higher in the intermediate-term. The rally over the past week was a breakout above a valid base of consolidation, which could set into motion a new intermediate-term uptrend for this ETF. As such, UNG is now on our radar screen for potential re-entry after it either pulls back or forms a <a title=\"Bull flag defined\" href=\"https:\/\/stockcharts.com\/help\/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:flag_pennant_continu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>bull flag<\/em><\/a> chart pattern. There is a good chance we will be able to re-enter the trade at a slightly lower price, or possibly near the current price, but with a more positive reward to risk ratio after UNG undergoes at least a near-term correction.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Since then, UNG has indeed formed a <em>bull flag<\/em> on its daily chart. As such, we are now listing it in the ETF watchlist section of today&#8217;s (October 9)\u00a0<em>Wagner Daily<\/em>\u00a0swing trading newsletter as a potential swing trade re-entry. Since it is a commodity ETF, it&#8217;s a bonus that this ETF has a low correlation to the direction of the main stock market indexes, which <a title=\"5 Technical Reasons Stocks May Soon Move Lower ($SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $MDY, $IWM)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/5-reasons-stocks-will-move-lower\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">may be headed lower in the near-term<\/a>. Below, we have annotated the <em>bull flag chart pattern<\/em> that we were anticipating to subsequently develop after exiting the trade on October 2:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"Technical bull flag pattern of $UNG\" alt=\"$UNG bull flag chart pattern\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/charts\/2012\/121009$UNGbullflag.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Paid subscribers to <a title=\"Learn about our short-term trading newsletter\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">our short-term ETF and stock trading newsletter<\/a> should note our preset, exact buy trigger, stop, and target prices for this trade setup in the ETF Watchlist section of today&#8217;s report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, on October 2, 2012, we locked in an 11% gain on a swing trade in US Natural Gas Fund ($UNG), a commodity ETF designed to roughly track the price of natural gas futures contracts. As you may recall, we sold the ETF into strength as it came within pennies of our original upside [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2110","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2110","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2110"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2110\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11698,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2110\/revisions\/11698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2110"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2110"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2110"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}