Commentary:
All major indices closed up on Wednesday. The market got off to a slow start, but found its footing late in the morning session and rallied throughout the remainder of the day. The Dow ended the session by posting a fourth straight advance. The higher beta indices rebounded well following Tuesdays difficult trading. The small-cap Russell 2000 led the charge as it posted an impressive 1.2% gain on Wednesday. The Nasdaq closed up by 0.8% while the S&P MidCap 400 finished higher by 0.6%. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both lagged the technology rich indices, but still managed to move higher by 0.5% and 0.3% respectively.
Volume was mixed on Wednesday. Volume on the Nasdaq increased by 4% while volume on the NYSE decreased by approximately 4%. The ratio of Advancing volume to declining volume was positive on both major indices. Up volume outpaced down volume on the NYSE by a factor of 2.4 to 1 and on the Nasdaq by a factor of 2.1 to 1.
Yesterday, the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miner ETF (GDXJ) hit our trigger and we entered the position (short). Despite its recovery after gapping down, GDXJ did not exhibit signs of major institutional accumulation. Volume was lighter day over day and GDXJ both traded and closed at a new nine day low.
Our position in PBW has been acting well. PBW has been consolidating for three days on declining volume, just below key resistance of $10.70. A volume fueled move above this mark should bode well for this trade.
As with all of the financials recently, the SPDR KBW Insurance ETF (KEI), is consolidating at its 52 week highs. A move above the three day high of $43.23 on a burst of volume could trigger a buy signal for KEI. This is not an official call. This is a higher risk trade as it looks to take advantage of the momentum amongst financials.
The ProShares Exchanged Traded Fund Trust (PDP), has been consolidating for six weeks at the 52 week highs. A move above the January 3rd high of $23.94 could provide a buy trigger for this ETF.
The market has been sending mixed signals over the past several sessions. Our daily scans are providing fewer quality setups. Although our bias remains on the long side of the market, our technical trading style suggests that we remain cautious and wait for quality trade entries.
Today’s Watchlist:
There are no new official setups for today. As always, we will send an Intraday Alert if any new trades are made.
Daily Performance Report:
Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a performance report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day’s newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $50,000 Wagner Daily model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below. Please review the Wagner Daily Subscriber Guide for important, automatic rules on trigger and stop prices
GDXJ short entry triggered. For those who are unable to short GDXJ, we recommend calling your broker and asking them to locate shares to short. One could also short GDX as an alternative.
- Reminder to subscribers – Intraday Trade Alerts to your e-mail and/or mobile phone are normally only sent to indicate a CHANGE to the pre-market plan that is detailed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. We sometimes send a courtesy alert just to confirm action that was already detailed in the pre-market newsletter, but this is not always the case. If no alert is received to the contrary, one should always assume we’re honoring all stops and trigger prices listed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. But whenever CHANGES to the pre-market stops or trigger prices are necessary, alerts are sent on an AS-NEEDED basis. Just a reminder of the purpose of Intraday Trade Alerts.
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Notes:
Edited by Deron Wagner,
MTG Founder and
Head Trader