Another Accumulation Day - (SPY)(QQQ)- The Wagner Daily
The Wagner Daily - November 9, 2011
Concise technical analysis and picks of the leading global ETFs
Commentary:
Stocks moved higher on Tuesday on brisk trade to post another accumulation day. Stocks rose across the board as all five major indices closed in positive territory. The small-cap Russell 2000 tacked on 1.4% while both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 gained 1.2%. The S&P MidCap 400 added 1.0% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.
Market internals ended the session on a bullish note. Turnover was up on the Nasdaq by almost 8.0% and on the Big Board by 12.6%. Advancing volume easily outpaced declining volume on the NYSE by a factor of 4.5 to 1 and on the Nasdaq by a factor of 3.5 to 1. The uptick in volume points directly to institutional accumulation and helps to further solidify the likelihood that this rally is legitimate.
Our positions in both PPH and XRT broke above the three day high and now appear ready to set new swing highs. However, despite the positive price action and internals, the market could easily continue to chop sideways for several weeks before potentially moving higher. We are now approaching key resistance and the last time we saw these levels the market pulled back sharply. A quick look at the charts of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.
Our open positions in XRT and PPH continue to act well as they have been consolidating for a possible move higher. With a little cooperation from the market both trades should perform well. Our market bias continues to be bullish but we are still patiently waiting for new leadership stocks to emerge. For the moment, all that would cause major concern for the long side of the market would be the emergence of further distribution days.
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Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Portfolio Manager of Morpheus Trading Group, a capital management and trader education firm launched in 2001. Wagner is the author of the best-selling book, Trading ETFs: Gaining An Edge With Technical Analysis (Bloomberg Press, August 2008), and also appears in the popular DVD video, Sector Trading Strategies (Marketplace Books, June 2002). He is also co-author of both The Long-Term Day Trader (Career Press, April 2000) and The After-Hours Trader (McGraw Hill, August 2000). Past television appearances include CNBC, ABC, and Yahoo! FinanceVision. Wagner is a frequent guest speaker at various trading and financial conferences around the world, and can be reached by sending e-mail to: deron@morpheustrading.com.
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