Benefits of a rules-based trading system

Enjoy this post? Share the love.

On May 1, heavy volume selling in the S&P 500 forced us to cut long exposure in our model portfolio from approximately 38% to 17% by the open on May 2. While we tried to give the current rally the benefit of the doubt on Wednesday, Thursday’s weak action pushed our market timing model into a sell signal, forcing us to cut exposure from 17% to cash on the open today. We are also removing both stock setups from the Wagner Daily watchlist (SWHC and NTES) for now….although each setup could be back on the watchlist sometime next week.

Although we run a very disciplined swing trading system, our market timing model allows us to be flexible and roll with the market when necessary. Our goal with every rally is to always believe in the uptrend until the market gives us a clear sell signal. We held on as long as we could this week, but we had to respect the heavy selling and step out of the way. We never know just how far a market can correct when conditions turn sour, but we really do not need to predict anything. We simply step out of the way and let the market tell us when to come back in. This is the benefit of a rules-based trading system, as it allows us to eliminate most of the emotion out of the equation.


Enjoy this post? Share the love.
Deron Wagner

Deron Wagner is a professional trader, author of several ETF trading books, and the Founder of Morpheus Trading Group. Since 2002, he has been sharing his proven swing trading strategy with thousands of traders around the world. He has appeared on CNBC, ABC, and Yahoo! Finance Vision television networks, and is a frequent guest speaker at various global investing conferences.

Recent Posts

Unlocking Explosive Gains: Mastering the 20-Day EMA Pullback After a Strong Thrust

Missed the initial breakout? Don't worry - there's still a chance to catch that rocket! Today, we're diving deep into…

1 month ago

Nasdaq Flashes 3 Powerful Buy Signals: Your Ticket to Serious Profits

Discover the three powerful buy signals flashing in the Nasdaq and learn how to profit from the surprising shift in…

2 months ago

Tesla Stock Analysis: 5 Bullish Signals for Swing Trading $TSLA [Sept 2024]

Could Tesla (TSLA) be gearing up for a major bullish run? Veteran analyst Rick Pedicelli breaks down five critical technical…

2 months ago

NASDAQ’s Bloodbath: Navigating the QQQ Plunge and Uncovering Hidden Opportunities

The tech sector has recently experienced a significant downturn, with the NASDAQ index plummeting, but for astute traders, such market…

3 months ago

Decoding Nvidia’s 35% Tumble: A Technical Analysis Masterclass

In the high-stakes world of AI stocks, even giants can stumble. Join us as we dissect Nvidia's recent 35% correction…

3 months ago