The Wagner Daily – December 16, 2022
Below is the full, archived issue of The Wagner Daily swing trading report (sent to members the night before the publication date).
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MTG Market Timing Model – Sell (as of Dec. 15) due to a break of 20ema in S&P 500
Our timing model was designed to keep our trades in line with the prevailing market trend, not to call tops or catch bottoms in S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite.
today’s watchlist along with open and closed positions:
- Per intraday alert, sold the rest of $GFS at breakeven.
Stocks followed through on Wednesday’s weakness with another day of ugly selling. All major indices ended with losses ranging from -2% to -3.5%.
The S&P 500 and S&P 400 lost the 20-day EMA, forcing our timing model back on a sell signal. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 closed below the 50-day MA.
We noted in yesterday’s report that we were unable to increase our long exposure due to a lack of power during the most recent market rally. Because of this, were already holding a 96% cash position coming into Thursday, which helped us avoid any pain. We did sell the remaining portion of $GFS at breakeven, per intraday alert.
With the odds now favoring further weakness, the short side is back on the table if/when there is a bounce. New long exposure is off the table unless broad-based averages can reclaim major support levels within the next day or two.
$MOS and $RBLX are a few short setups we are monitoring.
The setups below are not official.
$MOS – a short-term bounce would be ideal to establish a short position. 
$RBLX – a day or two of tight-ranged chop from here would create a short setup.
Unofficial Watchlist – the setups listed here are not tracked
- Longs – (none)
- Shorts – on a bounce $CRWD $CRWD $ZS $NET $CRM $MRVL $RBLX $MOS
Rick
Click here to view this week’s watchlist in google sheets
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