Stock Picks & Analysis

Wheat ETF Breakout: How to BENEFIT from Surging Food Prices

Enjoy this post? Share the love.

With surging inflation, many consumers have been feeling the pinch of rising food prices lately. But here’s an excellent way to profit from the situation through buying an ETF that follows the price of wheat futures ($WEAT).

Many stock market sectors have been trending lower for months, making 2022 a challenging year for stock investors.

However, rising consumer inflation has caused many commodity-based stocks and ETFs to buck the trend and cruise steadily higher.

Teucrium Wheat Fund ($WEAT), a hot ETF that tracks the price of wheat futures, is one such leader in the commodity sector.

$WEAT has already gained +6% since its April 8 buy trigger, and is now poised for further gains in the coming weeks.

Continue reading to discover why we recently alerted Wagner Daily members to the explosive buy setup in this leading commodity ETF.

$WEAT: The Pullback Buy Setup

$WEAT broke out from a three-month long base and exploded higher in early March, confirmed by a massive volume surge as well:

Press chart to view full-sized image

$WEAT then pulled back from the highs and entered into a five-week consolidation pattern.

Generally speaking, a strong breakout should hold support of the 20-day exponential moving average on a pullback–a clear signal that the trend remains strong.

Two weeks ago, $WEAT briefly dipped below the 20-day EMA, but quickly recovered back above that level a few days later.

After the price of $WEAT snapped back above the 20-day EMA, we began looking for a potential pullback buy entry in our nightly swing trading report.

$WEAT: The Buy Entry

The daily chart below shows the price action that led to an ideal, low-risk buy setup in $WEAT:

Press chart to view full-sized image

At point “A,” the price of $WEAT broke out above the downtrend line from the pullback high.

The price also reclaimed support of the 8 and 20-day exponential moving averages.

That bullish gap above resistance of the downtrend line and moving averages triggered a buy alert and put the setup on our radar for an ideal buy entry point.

Thereafter, the price action tightened up and formed inside days over the next two sessions.

Narrow-ranged days near key moving averages often create ideal buy points, especially when there are multiple days in a row.

As such, we alerted Wagner Daily members of a potential, low-risk buy point in $WEAT on a rally above the April 7 high (point “B”).

The buy trigger came the next day, as the price of $WEAT rallied above the April 7 high on increasing volume.

On April 11, our buy entry was confirmed by a second day of buying on another nice pick-up in volume.

If you are not a member and missed the original buy signal, then a quick pullback to the 8-day moving average could also provide a relatively low-risk buy entry point in $WEAT.

$WEAT: The Exit Strategy

With $WEAT now breaking out above the high of its five-week consolidation pattern, traders may consider selling 50% position size into strength on a test of the early March high (around $12.75).

Based on our buy trigger above the April 7 high, that would be a +22% gain–not bad for a commodity-based swing trade.

If the price action remains bullish, we would then hold the remaining half position to maximize gains in anticipation of a breakout to new highs.

Of course, it’s crucial to trail a protective stop higher along the way–simply to secure gains in case of a sharp pullback.

Rising food prices may be challenging right now, but selectively trading commodity stocks and ETFs that are also rising is an excellent way to ease the burden–and maybe even come out on top!

Become a member now to be alerted to our exact entry, stop, and target price of the next explosive Wagner Daily stock pick!


Enjoy this post? Share the love.
Deron Wagner

Deron Wagner is a professional trader, author of several ETF trading books, and the Founder of Morpheus Trading Group. Since 2002, he has been sharing his proven swing trading strategy with thousands of traders around the world. He has appeared on CNBC, ABC, and Yahoo! Finance Vision television networks, and is a frequent guest speaker at various global investing conferences.

Recent Posts

Unlocking Explosive Gains: Mastering the 20-Day EMA Pullback After a Strong Thrust

Missed the initial breakout? Don't worry - there's still a chance to catch that rocket! Today, we're diving deep into…

1 month ago

Nasdaq Flashes 3 Powerful Buy Signals: Your Ticket to Serious Profits

Discover the three powerful buy signals flashing in the Nasdaq and learn how to profit from the surprising shift in…

2 months ago

Tesla Stock Analysis: 5 Bullish Signals for Swing Trading $TSLA [Sept 2024]

Could Tesla (TSLA) be gearing up for a major bullish run? Veteran analyst Rick Pedicelli breaks down five critical technical…

2 months ago

NASDAQ’s Bloodbath: Navigating the QQQ Plunge and Uncovering Hidden Opportunities

The tech sector has recently experienced a significant downturn, with the NASDAQ index plummeting, but for astute traders, such market…

3 months ago

Decoding Nvidia’s 35% Tumble: A Technical Analysis Masterclass

In the high-stakes world of AI stocks, even giants can stumble. Join us as we dissect Nvidia's recent 35% correction…

4 months ago