In continuous publication since 2002Wagner Daily · founded by Deron WagnerSwing trade alerts since 2002.
See when to buy, and when to hold cash.
Head trader Rick Pedicelli’s alerts, plus a written market timing model with a Buy signal and a No buy signal. The app calculates your share count. You place every order.
Annual plan: $688 a year (about $57 a month). Monthly plan: $98 a month.
- 30-day confidence guarantee
- 3,100+ Wagner Daily trades since 2002, losers included (reconstructed by MTG, unaudited)
- Members-only room with Rick and fellow traders, 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET
- Founder Deron Wagner, author of 5 books
Past results don’t guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
Deron Wagner, whose books include Trading ETFs (Bloomberg Press), built the rules. Rick trades them: he buys the market’s strongest stocks on a Buy signal. On a No buy signal he takes fewer new trades, or none, and holds more cash.
Each alert comes with its entry, its stop and Rick’s size call (how much of a full position to take). The Wagner Daily app turns it into your share count.
Plus a members-only room where Rick and fellow members talk setups during US market hours.
Rick’s alerts during market hours, and the Stalk Sheet every evening.
The alerts tell you what Rick is doing as it happens. The Stalk Sheet tells you what he’s watching for the next session.
Trade alerts, as each trade triggers
When Rick buys, sells part of a position, sells all or raises a stop, you get an alert by text, by email and in the app.
Each one shows its time, and the Alerts tab keeps every alert, newest first, with a symbol search.
The Stalk Sheet
Rick’s watchlist and market notes for the next session: the market call, his note, each stock he may buy with its trigger price, stop and size, his open positions and every change he made.
It lands in the app and in your inbox late in the evening, Monday to Thursday, and on Sunday for the week ahead. It’s the new form of the daily report long-time members know.
Sample screens with made-up tickers, prices and dates, shown on a buy-signal day. They are not real alerts or results.
We buy the market’s leaders in an uptrend, and stay mostly in cash when there isn’t one.
Every alert follows the same written rules, built by our founder, Deron Wagner, and refined with Rick for more than 20 years.
It’s the same methodology we teach in TradeQuest.
- What we tradeMostly US growth stocks and ETFs, the market’s leaders
- When we buyOn a buy signal. Without one, we buy less, or nothing new.
- Trading styleMomentum swing trades, held for days to a few weeks
- How we limit riskEvery alert has a stop, and a size set by that stop
- 1
Market first. Our market timing model decides whether we should be buying at all, before any stock gets a look. It weighs the trend of the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, days of heavy selling, and whether breakouts in leading stocks are working.
- 2
Trade the leaders. We trade mostly US growth stocks and ETFs with the most relative strength, meaning they’re rising faster than the market. Leaders tend to keep leading while the trend holds.
- 3
Buy the trigger. Entries come from setups we’ve traded for years, such as base breakouts, pullbacks and breakaway gaps. Rick sends the alert as the trade triggers, when the price moves past the entry.
- 4
Stop first. Every alert comes with its stop, the price where you sell if the trade goes against you. It’s set before entry and only ever moved in our favor.
- 5
The stop sets the size. The distance from the entry to the stop sets the share count, so the loss if the stop is hit is known in advance. That’s the math “Size it” does for your account.
- 6
Let the leaders run. Short-term moving averages decide whether we keep holding a stock, and profit is often taken in pieces. In the first half of 2026, fewer than half the trades were winners, and the average loss was about a quarter the size of the average win.
One real Wagner Daily trade, step by step:
- 1Buy $236.69
- 2Stop $222.49
- 3Sold ¼, +14.58%
- 4Stop up to $236.69
- 5Sold ½, +14.64%
- 6Closed, +8.43%
Model portfolio, reconstructed by MTG from the alerts members received and unaudited. One trade, not an account return, and results vary.
The first-half 2026 figures are for MTG’s model portfolio, reconstructed from published alerts and unaudited. Stops can fill below their price. Trading involves substantial risk of loss, and past results don’t guarantee future results.
See the full first-half 2026 record, winners and losers
Annual plan: $688 a year (about $57 a month). Monthly plan: $98 a month.
- 30-day confidence guarantee
A good trade sized too big can do more damage than a bad trade sized right.
Rick’s alerts give you the entry, the stop and his size call.
Turning that into a share count for your own account is where many traders go wrong, especially when the stock is moving and you’re doing the math in your head.
Buy too many shares on a trade that “looks perfect,” and one loss can cost you a month of gains.
Move a stop “just this once,” and a small loss can turn into a big one.
Each alert arrives with its stop, and the app turns your own risk into the share count, so your plan is set before you place the trade.
10 losing trades in a row on a $50,000 account
Same 10 losing trades, and only the risk per trade changes.
An illustration of the math, not a prediction or a trading result.
I love the action. I love being engaged. But without controlling that emotion, you’re not gonna consistently make gains.
Member comments are individual experiences. Results vary and are not typical.
One plan for every trade, Rick’s or your own.
Rick’s alerts and your own trade ideas go through the same rules in one app. It calculates your share count before you place the order.
Get your position size.
The app shows your number of shares first, then what they cost, what you would lose if the stop is hit, your two orders and your total open risk after the trade.
Sample screen · made-up data
Log the fill in one tap.
When your broker fills the order, tap “My order filled.” The app logs the trade and shows the protective stop to place right away.
Sample screen · made-up data
See every trade in one log.
The trades you take from Rick’s alerts and your own ideas sit side by side in “Trades,” each with its shares, fill and stop, and, once a trade closes, its result as the price move from your fill to your exit, in percent and dollars. When Rick moves a stop or sells, you get an alert, and one tap updates yours.
Sample screen · made-up data
Sample screens with made-up numbers and dates, shown on a buy-signal day. The trades in them are not our alerts or results, and the model’s real status is under “The model in action.”
What the app keeps track of for you
What your open trades have at risk
What you would lose if the stops on all your open trades were hit, added together and measured against your own total limit (the MTG standard is 5% of your account, at 1% per trade). A trade that would go over the limit gets a smaller size that fits.
Where the market stands
With no buy signal, Today shows whether Rick is waiting for a rally attempt or one is underway, with its day count and the ideal window for a buy signal. Rick sets it, and the app counts the days.
An honest flag, never a block
Buy more shares than the app sized, or fill well past the entry, and that trade is marked with the reason. Every decision stays yours.
The app never connects to your brokerage account. It does the math, and you place every order.
No AI picks our trades. Rick does, using our written rules, and the share count comes from those same rules.
Annual plan: $688 a year (about $57 a month). Monthly plan: $98 a month.
- 30-day confidence guarantee
Know when to buy, and when to hold cash.
The MTG Market Timing model tells us when there’s a buy signal, and when it’s time to step aside.
Stepping aside means we’re buying less, or nothing new. We call that capital preservation mode, and it’s how we focus on avoiding the damaging losses that hurt most traders in a weak market.
Members see the call every day at the top of the app’s “Today” screen:
- Buy signal (green): conditions support new positions, and new buy alerts go out. The app counts the days since it began.
- No buy signal (yellow): conditions don’t support new buys. Rick is mostly in cash, with any positions small, and in a confirmed downtrend he may sell short selectively. His note says how he’s trading the day.
On a no buy signal, Today also shows where the market stands. Rick’s note comes first, then the market stage: waiting for a rally attempt, or which day of one we’re on.
A rally attempt starts when the market turns up after a sell-off. An ideal buy signal comes from a follow-through day, a big up day on higher volume than the day before, on days 4 to 10 of the attempt. The market doesn’t always follow the textbook, so Rick makes the call. Many rally attempts fail, and nobody knows when the next buy signal will come.
Ask the app to size a new buy with no buy signal, and you get a short heads-up first. It never blocks the trade.
With no buy signal, the app also caps your total open risk at 5% of your account, even if you’ve set a higher limit.
While the call is No buy signal, you still get Rick’s note on how he’s trading, the Stalk Sheet and the members-only room, where members share ideas to watch and discuss. Members’ own ideas, not MTG alerts.
On October 13, the model went to 100% cash.
That meant no open positions at all, starting at the open on Tuesday, October 13.
By the close on Friday, October 16, $QQQ was down 4.0% from its October 13 open, and 7.0% below its October 6 high.
The model reacts to what the market is doing, and in mid-October it saw enough selling to move to cash.
$QQQ had 4 distribution days in 7 sessions (closes down 0.2% or more, on higher volume than the day before).
Since then, the selling went on. By the close on Thursday, November 5, $QQQ was 11.8% below its October 13 open, and 14.5% below its October 6 high.
Rick’s next new buy alert came on Wednesday, October 21: $CRM (buy above $241.19, stop $230.94). The model portfolio sold it in three pieces, and the trade closed on October 27, up 1.8% on average.
The model portfolio has held no stocks since October 27, and as of November 6 the timing model is still on a No buy signal. Members see every alert in the app’s “Alerts” tab, newest first, with a month picker and a symbol search.
This is one example. The model can be early, late or wrong, and time in cash can mean missed gains.
Late October shows it: $QQQ bounced 2.2% from the October 16 close to the October 28 close, and the model held one stock for part of it and was otherwise in cash.
$QQQ figures use daily prices through November 5, 2026, and the chart covers the week of October 12. The $CRM result is the average price move across three equal exits from the alert entry, on the model portfolio, unaudited, and not an account return. Past results don’t guarantee future results.
Knowing when to not trade is probably more important than knowing when to trade.
Member comments are individual experiences. Results vary and are not typical.
Everything that comes with Wagner Daily.
Live trade alerts
Rick sends each trade as it triggers, by text, by email and in the app, with the entry, the stop and his size call.
You also get an alert when he moves a stop or sells. On average that’s about 3 to 4 new trades a week, and fewer (or none) with no buy signal.
The members-only room
Rick and fellow members talk setups during US market hours, 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET. Members’ own ideas, not MTG alerts.
Share counts for Rick’s trades and yours
“Size it” sizes Rick’s alerts. “Size a trade” sizes any stock or ETF idea of your own, long or short.
One log for the trades you take from Rick and your own
Each trade is tagged “Following Rick” or “Your idea,” next to your open risk and, once it closes, its result.
The market timing call
The MTG Market Timing model’s call shows on the “Today” screen every day, with Rick’s note and, on a no buy signal, where the market stands.
The Stalk Sheet
Rick’s watchlist and market notes for the next session, with his open positions and every change he made.
It replaces the daily report long-time members know, in the app and in your inbox.
The app opens directly in your web browser (phone or computer), with nothing to download.
New tools we add to the app come with your membership.
Annual plan: $688 a year (about $57 a month). Monthly plan: $98 a month.
- 30-day confidence guarantee
Your app is fantastic. The community is great. I wish this had occurred earlier in my trading career.
Member comments are individual experiences. Results vary and are not typical.
When Rick has no alert, the room still has ideas
Rick and fellow members talk setups in the room.
Members share their own trade ideas and charts, including when Rick has none, and you can ask about a setup while the trade is still open.
Members’ own ideas, not MTG alerts.
On a No buy signal, those ideas are things to watch and discuss, not a reason to buy against the model.
Here’s a real exchange from September 30, a few minutes before the close:
MU reports after the close.
Qs bounced into a tough area
struggles above 745
I'd love to play MU or MUU here, but I can't get my head around the reward vs risk
only can do options there
have to be able to limit risk
Maybe set limit order(s) for MU to catch a lower entry on post-earnings volatility?
Qs still have some sell limit resistance in the $745 area
These posts from September 30, 2026 are copied word for word into a redrawn chat window (New York time), with member names hidden and a chart left out.
The room is for education, so questions are about setups and the market, not about your personal account.
Rick leads the room during US market hours, 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET.
Some members have been with us for 20 years, and some left to try other services and came back.
Prefer to read without posting? Turn off notifications during the day and read the messages after the market closes.
What a pleasure it’s been to have been part of this community for the last years, and how helpful it is to be engaged with other traders who have all different styles and all different information.
Member comments are individual experiences. Results vary and are not typical.
Annual plan: $688 a year (about $57 a month). Monthly plan: $98 a month.
- 30-day confidence guarantee
The full record for January to June 2026, winners and losers.
We’ve published over 3,100 trades since 2002, the losers included.
The table below lists the trades and partial exits (a sale of part of a position) the model portfolio closed from January to June 2026, the most recent full half-year, reconstructed from the alerts members received.
As of November 5, 2026, July to October is not in this record yet. We will add it once we have checked the numbers.
Alerts since late October 2026 are also in the app’s “Alerts” tab.
We trade our own money on these alerts, and we keep the original timestamped version of every alert. The record below is the model portfolio, not a statement of our accounts.
January to June 2026
Each result is the price move on one trade, not the return on an account. The 3,100+ count and these figures are for the model portfolio behind Wagner Daily, reconstructed by MTG from published alerts. They are unaudited, exclude commissions and slippage, and are not any member’s results. Stops can fill below their price. Past results don’t guarantee future results.
Fewer than half the trades were winners, and the average loss was about a quarter the size of the average win.
The latest closes in this record (June 16 to June 24, 2026)
These are the 11 most recent closes, not a selection.
| Stock | Result |
|---|---|
| $PANWJun 15 → Jun 24$282.81 → $286.77 | +1.40% |
| $INTCJun 11 → Jun 24$114.76 → $130.26 | +13.51% |
| $GFSJun 18 → Jun 23$84.73 → $82.79 | -2.29% |
| $INTCJun 11 → Jun 23$114.76 → $135.68 | +18.23% |
| $DDOGJun 12 → Jun 22$231.36 → $224.02 | -3.17% |
| $NBISJun 12 → Jun 22$236.69 → $256.64 | +8.43% |
| $NBISJun 12 → Jun 17$236.69 → $271.33 | +14.64% |
| $SNOWJun 15 → Jun 16$243.26 → $237.84 | -2.23% |
| $DDOGJun 15 → Jun 16$232.69 → $232.19 | -0.21% |
| $NBISJun 12 → Jun 16$236.69 → $271.19 | +14.58% |
| $DELLJun 12 → Jun 16$400.74 → $404.71 | +0.99% |
See all 102 trades and partial exits (January to June 2026)
| Stock | Result |
|---|
The traders behind Wagner Daily.
Deron Wagner
Founder, Morpheus Trading Group
Deron founded Morpheus Trading Group in 2002 after a career as a professional trader and hedge fund manager.
He has written or co-written 5 books on trading, including Trading ETFs (Bloomberg Press), a 2009 Axiom Business Book Award winner.
He built the rule-based methodology that Wagner Daily trades, the same one taught in TradeQuest, our accredited swing trading education program.
Rick Pedicelli
Head trader
Rick has been our head trader for more than 20 years.
He leads the trade alerts and the members-only room during US market hours, working from the written rules he and Deron refined together.
Trade what you SEE, not what you think.
The Morpheus Trading Group mantra since 2002.
One membership, everything included.
On a $10,000 account, one trade at 5% risk instead of 1% loses an extra $400 if it hits its stop. In the app, risk per trade tops out at the 1% MTG standard on Rick’s alerts. On a buy signal, your own best-rated ideas can go up to 1.5% if you turn that on in Settings.
Annual plan
About $57 a month, and $488 less than paying monthly for a year.
Renews yearly until you cancel.
Monthly plan
Renews monthly until you cancel.
- Live trade alerts with the entry, the stop and Rick’s size call, plus every stop move and sell
- The members-only room: Rick and fellow members talk setups during US market hours
- The market timing call, every day
- The Stalk Sheet: Rick’s watchlist and market notes for the next session
- The Wagner Daily app: “Size it” for Rick’s alerts, “Size a trade” for your own ideas, and your trade log
- New app tools as we add them
You choose annual or monthly on the next page.
Some months bring only a few new alerts, because on a No buy signal the model keeps us mostly in cash. You still get Rick’s note on the market, the Stalk Sheet, the members-only room and the app’s share counts for your own ideas.
Cancel anytime by emailing help@morpheustrading.com. Cancelling stops the next renewal.
30-day confidence guarantee
We stand behind Wagner Daily, so your membership comes with a guarantee. The terms for each plan are shown on the next page, before you pay.
Questions traders ask
How we trade
What do you trade, and how long do you hold?
Mostly US growth stocks and ETFs with the most relative strength, meaning they’re rising faster than the market.
Entries come from setups we’ve traded for years:
- Base breakouts: the price breaks above a range the stock traded in for weeks, on higher volume.
- Pullbacks: a short dip in a stock that’s trending up.
- Breakaway gaps: a big jump in price at the open, on very heavy volume.
They’re swing trades, held for days to a few weeks. In the first half of 2026, the average hold was 6.3 calendar days.
Why buy stocks that are already going up?
Because leaders tend to keep leading while the trend holds.
Buying a stock that’s already rising means following what the market is doing, instead of guessing where a falling stock will bottom.
A leader can still turn down, and that’s what the stop is for.
What happens when the market turns down?
With no buy signal, we’re in capital preservation mode: buying less, or nothing new.
Rick is mostly in cash, with any positions small, and there may be few or no new buy alerts for weeks. In a confirmed downtrend he may sell short selectively.
You still get Rick’s note on how he’s trading, the Stalk Sheet and the members-only room, where members share ideas to watch and discuss. Members’ own ideas, not MTG alerts.
In mid-October 2026, for example, the model went to 100% cash (see “The model in action” above).
The model can be early, late or wrong, and time in cash can mean missed gains.
What returns can I expect, and will I have losing trades?
There’s no promised return, and yes, you’ll have losing trades, sometimes several in a row.
Your results depend on your own account size, your risk per trade, which alerts you take and the prices you get at your broker.
The published record above lists the trades the model portfolio closed from January to June 2026, with the losses next to the wins.
Each alert comes with a stop that limits the loss if it’s hit, while the winners run. A stop can fill below its price, so a loss can be bigger than planned.
Do you trade these alerts with your own money?
Yes. We trade our own money on these alerts.
The published record is the model portfolio, reconstructed from the alerts members received, and it isn’t a statement of our accounts. We keep the original timestamped version of every alert.
Can’t AI pick my trades now?
AI can find you a stock in seconds. It can’t keep you from moving your stop.
No AI picks our trades. Rick Pedicelli, our head trader, does, using the written rules Deron built, and the two of them have refined those rules for more than 20 years.
The app’s share count comes from the same rules, and it flags any trade you take outside them. Keeping the stop is still your job, with Rick and the members-only room behind you.
I took TradeQuest. Do I need this too?
TradeQuest teaches the methodology, and Wagner Daily applies it in real time.
TradeQuest graduates can use the alerts to compare their own analysis with Rick’s, and the members-only room to ask about any trade.
You can also size and log your own trades in the app, with the same rules.
Using the alerts and the app
Is this for beginners?
Wagner Daily works best if you already know how to place a buy order and a stop at your broker. If you’re newer, our free Intro to Trading course covers the basics first.
In the app, you can size a few alerts and tap “Not taking it” until the numbers feel familiar.
Can I use the app for my own trades?
Yes. Tap “Size a trade” for any stock or ETF idea of your own, long or short, and the app sizes it with the same rules it uses for Rick’s alerts.
For your own ideas you set the stop, the price where the idea is proven wrong. How we place ours is part of the methodology taught in TradeQuest.
Log it with one tap, and it counts toward your open risk, next to the trades you take from Rick. The app sizes stocks and ETFs, not crypto.
How many alerts will I get?
About 3 to 4 new trades a week on average, and more in strong markets.
With no buy signal, there may be few or none for several weeks, because staying out of a weak market is part of the plan.
Stop changes and sells on open trades still go out as alerts.
I work full time. Can I keep up?
Yes. Swing trades are held for days to a few weeks.
Alerts reach you by text, by email and in the app. Place the order with its stop as soon as you can.
Now and then an alert’s stop follows shortly after the open. Tap “Size it” again when it arrives.
If the price has already run past the entry, the sizing result shows the highest fill that still fits your rules. Above that, skip the alert and wait for the next one.
The Stalk Sheet lists the stocks Rick may buy in the next session, each with an entry price and a stop, so you can plan before the market opens.
Does the app connect to my brokerage account?
No. It opens in your web browser and never connects to your brokerage account.
The app does the math, and you place each order at your own broker.
What size account do I need?
The app sizes each trade from the account size and risk per trade you enter, so a smaller account gets a smaller share count.
At 1% risk, for example, a $5,000 account risks $50 on a “Full size” alert (Rick’s full position size).
You choose your risk per trade, and you can start small while you learn the alerts.
Can I use it in an IRA or a cash account?
Most of Rick’s alerts are long trades in stocks and ETFs. In a confirmed downtrend he sometimes sells short, and you can skip any short your account doesn’t allow. Check your broker’s rules for your account type.
Short trades of your own depend on what your broker allows in that account. The app sizes from the account size you enter, so set it to the account you trade.
I live outside the US. Will it work for me?
Yes, if your broker can trade US stocks and ETFs.
Alerts go out during US market hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM New York time). That’s about 2:30 PM to 9:00 PM in London, late evening into the night in India, and from about 10:30 PM into the early morning in Singapore.
If they fall during your night, plan ahead from the Stalk Sheet, which gives an entry price and a stop for each stock Rick may buy in the next session.
The app works in any web browser.
Do you make options calls?
No. Our alerts are swing trades in US stocks and ETFs.
Many members of the room adapt Rick’s trades to short-term call options, and one long-time member regularly shares his options entries and exits there. Members’ own ideas, not MTG alerts.
Membership
How do I cancel, and what is the guarantee?
Cancel anytime by emailing help@morpheustrading.com. Cancelling stops the next renewal.
The 30-day confidence guarantee covers your membership, not your trading results. Each plan’s terms are shown at checkout, before you pay.
I was a member before. What’s different now?
Rick still leads the alerts, using the same written rules, and he still leads the members-only room. Many long-time members are still in it.
The daily report you remember is now the Stalk Sheet: Rick’s watchlist and market notes for the next session, in the app and by email.
Alerts now go out as each trade triggers, and the app calculates your share count for each one. It sizes and logs your own trades too.
I’m already a member. Do I need to do anything?
No. Your membership continues as it is, on the terms you joined with.
Know when to buy. Know when to hold cash.
Rick’s next alert arrives with its entry and stop. The market timing model shows a Buy signal or a No buy signal, and the app calculates your share count. You place every order.
Your access to the alerts, the app and the members-only room starts the day you join.
Annual plan: $688 a year (about $57 a month). Monthly plan: $98 a month.
- 30-day confidence guarantee
Not ready yet? Take the free Trader Profile and find out what kind of trader you are.
Trade what you SEE, not what you think.