The Wagner Daily – September 14, 2021
Below is the full, archived issue of The Wagner Daily swing trading report (sent to members the night before the publication date).
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MTG Market Timing Model – buy mode (but cautious)
Our timing model was designed to keep our trades in line with the prevailing market trend, not to call tops or catch bottoms in S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite.
today’s watchlist (potential trade entries):
closed positions:
position notes:
- Stopped out of partial $ZIM for an 18% gain.
- Stopped out of $SNAP and 3% of $DDOG.
The S&P 500 closed +0.2% higher but is still trading below the 20-day EMA which is our line in the sand for bull market action. If the S&P is unable to reclaim the 20-day EMA soon that would signal a change in character.
Market conditions deteriorated for growth on Monday with growth based ETFs underperforming ($IWP -0.6%, $ARKK -1.9%, and $FFTY -2.7%).
With these ETFs all below the 20-day EMA there isn’t much evidence to support adding new long exposure.
The model portfolio stopped out of all $SNAP, 3% of $DDOG, and partial size of $ZIM.
Note that we have a tight stop on the remaining $ZIM just below the 20-period EMA on the hourly chart. For those who want to be more patient with the trade, a break of the 10-day EMA or 20-day EMA could serve as a sell signal.
Given the struggle to make progress lately, we are content to book a near 20% gain on the remaining shares.
$DDOG stopped us out of our 3% add below the 20-day EMA before reversing back above in the afternoon. We are still long a 4% position from our first buy in late August at 132.59. Our new stop is just below Monday’s low, which is a 1% loss (if triggered). Either the price holds this level or we are out.
Unofficial Setups – For experienced traders only, no guidance is given for these setups.Add
- No new setups – Just Watching – $ZI $AFRM $DOCN $LULU $DLO $FIGS $NTRA $AMEH $LC $DDOG $GLBE
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