A Bullish Signal – (SPY) (QQQ)


Stocks reversed sharply yesterday to score a bullish reversal and confirmation day. The major indices all closed higher. The small-cap Russell 2000 led the surge as it jumped 3.0%. The S&P MidCap 400 added 2.3% while the S&P 500 closed higher by 2.0%. Both the Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average tacked on 1.6%.

Market internals were bullish yesterday. Volume spiked by 15.0% on the Nasdaq and 22.0% on the NYSE. Advancing volume topped declining volume by a ratio of 12.6 to 1 on the NYSE and 5 to 1 on the Nasdaq. As discussed earlier, yesterday was a bullish reversal, accumulation and confirmation day for the market. The spike in volume points directly to institutional buying.

Despite all of the positive action coming out of the market, as swing traders we are still inclined to take a conservative approach to entering the market on the long side for several reasons. A quick glance at the charts of the Nasadaq and the S&P 500 shows that we are near considerable resistance on both indices. It is also important to take into consideration that there are still very few stocks exhibiting signs that they are ready to break to new highs. The price action still needs to tighten up for quality patterns to develop. In the meantime we expect to see a continuance of the whippy price action which makes trading difficult.

Due to the whipsaw price action we raised the stop in EUO to just below breakeven. We now have an early short term buy signal in place but we’re not that anxious to jump in full force without more quality stock setups and in particular tightening of price action. There’s still a great deal of volatility in the market and price consolidation is what’s needed to form the base from which to launch a sustainable rally. It is also noteworthy that AAPL had its first earnings miss in almost six years. This could have a muting affect on the Nasdaq.

Today’s Watchlist:

There are no new setups for today. As always, we will send an intraday alert if any new trades are made.

Daily Performance Report:

Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a performance report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day’s newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $50,000 Wagner Daily model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below. Please review the Wagner Daily Subscriber Guide for important, automatic rules on trigger and stop prices

    position summary

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  • Note the change in the EUO stop price.
  • Reminder to subscribers – Intraday Trade Alerts to your e-mail and/or mobile phone are normally only sent to indicate a CHANGE to the pre-market plan that is detailed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. We sometimes send a courtesy alert just to confirm action that was already detailed in the pre-market newsletter, but this is not always the case. If no alert is received to the contrary, one should always assume we’re honoring all stops and trigger prices listed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. But whenever CHANGES to the pre-market stops or trigger prices are necessary, alerts are sent on an AS-NEEDED basis. Just a reminder of the purpose of Intraday Trade Alerts.
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      Edited by Deron Wagner,
      MTG Founder and
      Head Trader