No Man’s Land


Stocks moved higher on Wednesday as trade expanded. For the third consecutive day all five major indices closed higher. The S&P 500 and the S&P MidCap 400 both tacked on solid gains of 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average improved by 0.6% while the small-cap Russell 2000 and the Nasdaq added 0.5% and 0.4% respectively.

Market internals were bullish yesterday. For the first time in three days volume increased across the board. The Big Board saw volume improve by 15.2% as turnover on the Nasdaq rose by 7.1%. Advancing volume outpaced declining volume by a ratio of 4.0 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.8 to 1 on the Nasdaq. Even though volume on both exchanges remained below the 50-day volume moving average, we would still categorize yesterday as an accumulation day for the market.

Yesterday, via an intraday alert, we entered a long position in the iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) as it gapped above a two day resistance level at $33.20. We view this trade as a quick reversal trade since SLV has recently reversed trend. We anticipate SLV to find resistance near its 20-day EMA. Details of this trade are available to our subscribing members in the open positions segment of the newsletter.

The iShares MSCI All Peru Capped Index (EPU) has been demonstrating significant relative weakness over the past three sessions. As the broad market has been rallying EPU has been unable to bounce off the current lows. A volume fueled move back below the two day low of $36.92 could provide a shorting opportunity in this ETF.

In yesterday’s edition of The Wagner Daily we stated, “If the S&P 500 find its way abov…1300…then it will likely continue its advance to the 50-day moving average“. The S&P 500 did in fact break through this resistance level and closed near session highs at 1307.41. We now anticipate the S&P will follow through and rally into its 50-day MA. The market should find resistance at this level. For the moment we are not interested in taking on any more long positions as many of the short term technical indicators we follow are providing overbought readings. We are more apt to remain patient and look to short ETFs that are rallying into resistance. We consider it unwise to take on new positions in an over-extended environment.

Today’s Watchlist:

There are no new official setups for today. We will send an Intraday Alert if any new trades are made.

Daily Performance Report:

Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a performance report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day’s newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $50,000 Wagner Daily model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below. Please review the Wagner Daily Subscriber Guide for important, automatic rules on trigger and stop prices

    position summary

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  • Per intraday alert, bought SLV for a quick 3-5 day reversal.
  • Reminder to subscribers – Intraday Trade Alerts to your e-mail and/or mobile phone are normally only sent to indicate a CHANGE to the pre-market plan that is detailed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. We sometimes send a courtesy alert just to confirm action that was already detailed in the pre-market newsletter, but this is not always the case. If no alert is received to the contrary, one should always assume we’re honoring all stops and trigger prices listed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. But whenever CHANGES to the pre-market stops or trigger prices are necessary, alerts are sent on an AS-NEEDED basis. Just a reminder of the purpose of Intraday Trade Alerts.
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      Edited by Deron Wagner,
      MTG Founder and
      Head Trader