Commentary:
Stocks were up on Tuesday but volume was light. The market gapped up at the open and slid into lower territory before finding a bid early in the afternoon session. All five major indices closed near the session highs. The S&P 500 rose 0.6% on the session, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P MidCap 400 and the small-cap Russell 2000 all ended the session up by 0.5%. The Nasdaq was the day’s laggard as it posted a 0.35% improvement.
Market internals were mixed on Tuesday. Advancing volume outpaced declining volume on both indices. The ratio ended the day at 2.4 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.2 to 1 on the Nasdaq. Volume was down considerably on the day. On the Big Board turnover slid by 20%, while on the Nasdaq it fell by 7.3%. Yesterday’s internals point to an absence of institutional participation in the rally.
The DB Commodity Tracking ETF (DBC) has been consolidating for the past six sessions at its 20-day EMA. This exhibition of relative strength places DBC in a strong position to move to higher ground. Further, DBC’s consolidation has been accompanied by a contraction in volume. This type of price and volume action is often considered bullish. A volume assisted move back above the 6 day high of $31.27 could present a buying opportunity in this ETF.
The Global X Uranium ETF (URA) has been setting a bearish sequence of lower highs while it has been consolidating below its 20-day EMA. A loss of support at the 2 day low of $14.44 may provide a shorting opportunity in this ETF. We are monitoring URA closely for a potential short entry.
The market has struggled its way back to fill the gap formed by Monday’s selloff. Internals were unimpressive during yesterday’s rally and the Nasdaq continues to struggle in its attempt to regain the 50-day MA. The current market conditions have been providing very few setups that meet our technical and risk/reward criteria. As such, we are cautious about entering new trades.
Today’s Watchlist:
There are no official setups this morning. We will send an Intraday Alert if any new trades are made.
Daily Performance Report:
Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a performance report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day’s newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $50,000 Wagner Daily model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below. Please review the Wagner Daily Subscriber Guide for important, automatic rules on trigger and stop prices
- No changes to our open positions.
- Reminder to subscribers – Intraday Trade Alerts to your e-mail and/or mobile phone are normally only sent to indicate a CHANGE to the pre-market plan that is detailed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. We sometimes send a courtesy alert just to confirm action that was already detailed in the pre-market newsletter, but this is not always the case. If no alert is received to the contrary, one should always assume we’re honoring all stops and trigger prices listed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. But whenever CHANGES to the pre-market stops or trigger prices are necessary, alerts are sent on an AS-NEEDED basis. Just a reminder of the purpose of Intraday Trade Alerts.
- For those of you whose ISPs occasionally deliver your e-mail with a delay, make sure you’re signed up to receive our free text message alerts sent to your mobile phone. This provides a great way to have redundancy on all Intraday Trade Alerts. Send your request to [email protected] if not already set up for this value-added feature we provide to subscribers.
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Notes:
Edited by Deron Wagner,
MTG Founder and
Head Trader