Potential breakout entry in Energy ETF (ERX)


Stocks ended Monday’s lackluster session mixed, as volume declined. The Nasdaq was the only major index to end the day lower, as it closed fractionally below the flatline. The S&P 500 ended the day fractionally above the flatline. The S&P MidCap 400 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average realized modest gains of 0.1% and 0.2% respectively. The small-cap Russell 2000 was the only major index to post an appreciable gain. The small cap index ended the day 0.5% higher.

Turnover was down on Monday. Volume on the Nasdaq fell by 19%, while on the NYSE it was down 11.1% yesterday. The advancing to declining volume ratio, for all intents and purposes, ended the day at par on both indices.

On Monday we sent an intraday alert providing the trade details for a possible long entry in the Nasdaq 100 UltraShort ETF (QID). We stated, “The Nasdaq appears to be forming a “lower high” on its daily chart, indicating a possibility of a move back down to the recent lows. A QID buy entry above Friday’s high gives us a positive reward/risk ratio on the setup. Shortly after sending this alert, QID hit our trigger. Trade details are available for our subscribers in the open positions segment of the newsletter.

The Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL) has recent rallied to a new 52 week high. Given the relative strength of this ETF, a pullback near $50.00 may present a buying opportunity in this ETF. We will be monitoring KOL closely for a potential entry.

Direxion Energy Bull 3X Shares ETF (ERX) has been consolidating for three days in a tight pennant like formation. A move above the two day high of $92.44 could present a buy entry trigger for this ETF. We will be following ERX for a possible buy entry.

Sector rotation continued yesterday. Semiconductors and technology were weak, as healthcare, emerging markets and energy remained strong. It appears that money may be starting to rotate out of financial stocks. The sector appears weak as the XLF has been struggling to reclaim its 50-day MA.

Today’s Watchlist:

There are no official setups this morning. We will promptly send an Intraday Alert if any new trades are made.

Daily Performance Report:

Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a performance report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day’s newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $50,000 Wagner Daily model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below. Please review the Wagner Daily Subscriber Guide for important, automatic rules on trigger and stop prices

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  • Per intraday alert, we raised the stop price in SSG to 50.67 for the full position. After the close, SSG fell just under 4% on news that Texas Instruments was buying National Semiconductor. As such, we will be using the MTG Gap Rules to manage the position this morning. The new stop will be set at 15 cents below the low of the first 20-minutes of trading (we will send an intraday alert around 9:50 am to confirm the new stop). The target price of 53.73 if for 100 shares of SSG only.
  • Per intraday alert, we bought QID and sold the IHI to lock in a nice 1.2 point profit.
  • Reminder to subscribers – Intraday Trade Alerts to your e-mail and/or mobile phone are normally only sent to indicate a CHANGE to the pre-market plan that is detailed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. We sometimes send a courtesy alert just to confirm action that was already detailed in the pre-market newsletter, but this is not always the case. If no alert is received to the contrary, one should always assume we’re honoring all stops and trigger prices listed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. But whenever CHANGES to the pre-market stops or trigger prices are necessary, alerts are sent on an AS-NEEDED basis. Just a reminder of the purpose of Intraday Trade Alerts.
  • For those of you whose ISPs occasionally deliver your e-mail with a delay, make sure you’re signed up to receive our free text message alerts sent to your mobile phone. This provides a great way to have redundancy on all Intraday Trade Alerts. Send your request to [email protected] if not already set up for this value-added feature we provide to subscribers.

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      Edited by Deron Wagner,
      MTG Founder and
      Head Trader