Commentary:
Equities moved higher for a second consecutive day but closed well off session highs. In a follow up to Monday’s action, stock prices whipsawed again but Tuesday’s session ended with stocks in retreat. All five major indices closed higher as smaller cap issues led the advance. The S&P MidCap 400 tacked on 2.2% while the small-cap Russell 2000 gained 1.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq and S&P 500 posted gains of 1.3%, 1.2% and 1.1% respectively.
Market internals flashed a bullish signal but we are wary to classify yesterday’s action as an accumulation day for the broad market due to the significant intraday reversal. Volume was up across the board with the Nasdaq seeing an increase in turnover of 5.7%. On the NYSE, trade jumped by an impressive 31.3%. Advancing volume topped declining volume by a ratio of 3.8 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.5 to 1 on the Nasdaq.
We were stopped out of our position in SRS yesterday resulting in our first losing trade of the month. As discussed in yesterday’s newsletter we considered this trade as slightly higher risk and we therefore took small position size and maintained a tight stop. However, given the reversal candle formed by SRS yesterday, this ETF now presents a possible long entry above yesterday’s high of $16.45. We are monitoring this setup carefully for a possible re-entry.
Yesterday the ProShares Short MSCI EAFE ETF (EFZ) gapped down and undercut its 20-day EMA before reversing to close near the day’s high. This type of price action serves to sweep poorly placed stops and shake out weak hands. A move back above yesterday’s high of $54.48 could provide a short entry trigger for this ETF. We are placing EFZ on the watchlist. Trade details are available to our subscribers in the watchlist section of the newsletter.
For the second time in as many days market leaders struggled suggesting that the most recent two day rally is being led by market laggards. This type of price action must be taken into consideration when evaluating the bearishness or bullishness of a market. In a healthy market stocks such as AAPL, GMCR and AMZN would have rallied to new highs on a day like yesterday.
Today’s Watchlist:
EFZ
Long
Shares = 250
Trigger = 54.59
Stop = 52.56
Target = n/a
Dividend Date = n/a
Notes = See commentary above
Daily Performance Report:
Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a performance report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day’s newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $50,000 Wagner Daily model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below. Please review the Wagner Daily Subscriber Guide for important, automatic rules on trigger and stop prices
- Per intraday alert, sold SRS beneath the 20-minute low.
- Reminder to subscribers – Intraday Trade Alerts to your e-mail and/or mobile phone are normally only sent to indicate a CHANGE to the pre-market plan that is detailed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. We sometimes send a courtesy alert just to confirm action that was already detailed in the pre-market newsletter, but this is not always the case. If no alert is received to the contrary, one should always assume we’re honoring all stops and trigger prices listed in each morning’s Wagner Daily. But whenever CHANGES to the pre-market stops or trigger prices are necessary, alerts are sent on an AS-NEEDED basis. Just a reminder of the purpose of Intraday Trade Alerts.
- For those of you whose ISPs occasionally deliver your e-mail with a delay, make sure you’re signed up to receive our free text message alerts sent to your mobile phone. This provides a great way to have redundancy on all Intraday Trade Alerts. Send your request to [email protected] if not already set up for this value-added feature we provide to subscribers.
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Notes:
Edited by Deron Wagner,
MTG Founder and
Head Trader