Immediately after our market timing model shifted out of “Buy” mode (just one day before the Nov. 7 sell-off), we changed our focus from buying leading individual stocks to trading ETFs with a low correlation to the direction of the broad market (commodities, currencies, fixed-income, etc). While our most profitable momentum trades in healthy bull […]
Category: Stock Picks & Analysis
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We’ve begun seeing a bit of sector rotation lately, with leading stocks and sectors cooling off and formerly lagging industries seeing a bit of buying interest. Institutional sector rotation is common in bull markets, and the rotation of funds from one industry to another enables broad-based uptrends to remain intact, even when certain sectors are […]
Over the past several weeks, we’ve been discussing the increasing relative strength in small-cap stocks, compared to the rest of the broad market, and that bullish divergence continues to widen. Despite the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) falling 0.8% and closing well below key support of its 50-day moving average yesterday (September 30), the […]
The stock market remains in pullback mode after a strong surge off the lows, but leading individual stocks continue to hold up and show clear relative strength. Yesterday, for example, 4 of the 11 stocks in our swing trade newsletter gained at least 1.5%, even though the NASDAQ Composite was flat. Yelp ($YELP), which is […]
Since I just made two new blog posts yesterday, I am a bit hesitant to post another today because I don’t want to overwhelm readers. However, this swing trade alert is timely and actionable, so I wanted to make sure you knew about it ASAP. As you may recall from my August 18 blog post […]
Until last week, our market timing model was in “buy” mode for many months. As such, we have only been focused on swing trading stocks and ETFs on the long side of the market. However, now that our timing system has shifted to “neutral” mode, our trading rules allow us to selectively initiate new short […]
With the market in substantial pullback mode, the number of leading stocks showing relative strength and still presenting low-risk swing trade buy entries has dwindled. However, there are a few lone holdouts, each of which could quickly jump back to new highs if the market suddenly recovers (as it has been prone to do many times […]
One of the main reasons we trade both individual stocks and ETFs in this swing trading newsletter is that trading the right combination of the two equity types increases our odds of being able to outperform the stock market at any given time, regardless of the dominant market trend. In strongly uptrending markets, we primarily […]
In early May, we sold short spot gold through buying Gold Double Short ($DZZ), an inversely correlated “short ETF.” The trade worked out well, as we sold short gold when it bounced into resistance of its 20-day exponential moving average, which followed a massive break of key support. We subsequently covered about two weeks later […]
Going into today, US Oil Fund ($USO) is a new ETF swing trade setup on our watchlist for potential buy entry. In case you are not familiar with it, $USO is a commodity ETF that approximately tracks the price of crude oil futures contracts. For nearly a year, the price of crude has been in […]
